Here's what moved the needle this week.
We covered wheat rallies, canola trendlines, soybean weakness, and what's driving it all. Catch up on the calls that matter.
📊 Wheat Futures Breakdown: Technical Signals for Prairies
The wheats got my attention. CBOT SRW and Kansas HRW both trading at levels of technical interest, with support confluence in play.
If you missed the breakdown on daily structures, Fibonacci levels, and where buyers stepped in, read the full technical setup here.
Key takeaway: CBOT above 630 and Kansas near 700 are reaction zones. HRS still trailing toward the 50 DMA.
🕯️ Canola Technical Analysis: Dec 2025 Trendline Holds Support
The canola nearby held above the trendline dating back to December 2025 on the weekly chart.
A good reminder that trendlines are reference points, not prophecy, and that proper risk management beats pretty lines.
Key takeaway: Support holds, but watch the weekly close.
📉 Soybean Futures: Breaking Below 200-Week Moving Average
Soybeans closed a full candle body below a declining 200-week moving average.
That's not what growers want to see on the weekly chart.
Key takeaway: Bearish structure on the long-term chart.
🌾 Canola Futures: Strategy After the Bullish Gap Up
Canola gapped up at the open mid-week, and I reassessed on the spot.
The call: don't chase it.
Key takeaway: Make the trade your own, watch for pullbacks, not chases.
⚗️ Nitrogen Markets: The Story Behind Modern Synthetic Urea
A fascinating detour this week: the history of Fritz Haber, synthetic fertilizer, and the dual-purpose chemistry that built modern agriculture and chemical weapons.
Key takeaway: Understanding the backstory of our inputs matters.
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Nothing written, expressed, or implied here should be considered investment advice or an admonition to buy, sell, or trade any security or financial instrument. As always, do your own due diligence.
